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Controlling risk in a breakout system
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AT-March 2008-8
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Back testing trade strategies without sizing your positions correctly can produce misleading results. This study of two related breakout systems tell the tale.
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Detailed Description
One of the simplest ways to compare trading strategies is to test their rules against historical price data using a single futures contract or a fixed number of shares. However, this approach ignores one of the most important elements of trading risk.
When tested on one contract, a trading systems performance may be outstanding, but the numbers often arent as impressive if you test multiple contracts and apply position sizing rules.
To illustrate this concept, a simple breakout system was tested with and without position-sizing rules.
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