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Howard L. Simons
Currency trends and volatility
CT-November 2006-5
Volatility can tell you a lot about how a certain currency behaves - if you're ready to hear the unexpected truth.
Price: $4.50

Detailed Description

Volatility is at once one of the more fascinating, useful — and misunderstood — topics in finance. The fascination stems from its ephemeral nature. Volatility is the markets cost of insuring against uncertain events arriving at uncertain times with uncertain impacts. Risk is quantifiable; uncertainty is not. But the world is an uncertain place, and thus we must hedge ourselves the best we can.

Why is volatility misunderstood? Too many people view a time series of volatility as if it were a continuous process, such as a stock or bond price. It is not an asset, attempts by various exchanges to make it one notwithstanding. Volatility has no natural return such as a coupon or dividend. At best, volatility is an attribute of other asset classes, not an asset class per se.
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