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Cyclical lows in USD/JPY
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CT-February 2009-3
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Looking at past USD/JPY performance in times of economic hardship provides evidence the Japanese yen could extend its runs against the dollar this year.
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Detailed Description
Although it has already dropped substantially in recent months, the U.S. dollar/Japanese yen pair (USD/JPY) is set to remain under pressure throughout 2009 as global equities struggle to stage a credible recovery and major central banks hold off on raising interest rates.
Broadening yen strength combined with faltering fundamentals in the U.S. currency are likely to drag the USD/JPY under the 79 mark, a level not seen since both currencies began floating freely in 1973. Historical tendencies in the pair are poised to reassert themselves, driven by several market factors.
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