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Does U.S. spending spree spell inflation?
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CT-May 2009-1
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Opinions differ whether the U.S. is headed inexorably down a path toward high inflation, and what the impact on the dollar will be.
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Detailed Description
Although recent U.S. economic data has not shown signs of inflation in fact, its been quite the opposite a debate is raging within the economic community about whether the U.S. federal governments unprecedented spending spree will ultimately explode into an inflationary bubble down the road taking the dollar down with it.
Such a prospect could have a dramatic impact on the U.S. dollar, which has enjoyed, ironically, its strongest rally in years in recent months as the financial panic unfolded.
For now, inflation remains a "what-if" scenario, with the total March consumer price index (CPI) posting a 0.4-percent annual decline, the first annual drop since 1955; the "core" CPI rate, which excludes food and energy, gained 0.2 percent.
However, with the asset side of the U.S. Federal Reserves balance sheet now bloated to a historic nearly $2.2 trillion mark as of mid-April, and with the door open for it to expand to $3 or $4 trillion before the economic recovery and stimulus efforts conclude, inflation remains a real issue for traders to consider.
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