Search
Category

Special Article Collections

AT Article Name

AT Author

AT Issue

AT Subject

CT Article Name

CT Author

CT Issue

CT Subject

FOT Article Name

FOT Author

FOT Issue

FOT Subject


Links

Questions or problems?

Active Trader Home Page

David Bukey
Follow-through or fake-out: Testing 20-day highs and lows
AT-April 2006-7
Should you trade or fade 20-day price breakouts? Many traders monitor 20-day breakouts, but these events aren't necessarily trade signals. This analysis investigates helpful breakout patterns in the S&P 500 tracking stock (SPY) since 1993.
Price: $4.75

Detailed Description

Market Pulse: Stock market patterns and tendencies, Vol. 1

Breakouts occur when price moves out of an established trading range or pattern, or past some other kind of support or resistance level, such as a 20– or 40–day high or low. Breakouts have traditionally been interpreted as signs of price momentum in the direction of the breakout: If price breaks out to a new high, it is likely to continue rising, and if it breaks out to a new low, more selling is likely to follow.

The significance of a breakout is typically related to the perceived magnitude of the support or resistance being broken i.e., a push above a 40–day high is seen as more meaningful than a move above a 10–day high. However, simple testing shows breakouts above or below such well–known levels are hardly guaranteed to follow through.

Shopping Cart
Your cart is empty.