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How to avoid false breakouts
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AT-August 2011-1
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Practical strategies for active traders: How to use market internals to avoid weak breakout entries.
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Detailed Description
Armed with a handful of favorite chart patterns, active traders often scan for entries without carefully analyzing market “internal” signals such as pre-market futures activity, relative sector strength, TRIN readings, and multi-day high/low patterns in the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (COMPX) indices. Attempting to enter trades based on isolated chart-breakout patterns — even with the help of confirming technical signals like moving averages, high volume, Fibonacci retracements, and other popular indicators — often leads to false breakouts. The presence of specific market internal signals should be a precondition to entering a position.
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