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Supply and demand in the FX market
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CT-April 2006-6
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A recent scenario in the euro futures highlights why traders trying to push the market have such a vested interest in where the market closes each day.
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Detailed Description
A peculiar thing happened on Feb. 17, the Friday before the threeday Presidents Day weekend: An enormous supply of euros (EC) was offered on Globex, the electronic trading arm of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Rumors began to fly around the spot forex market that someone was offering euro futures in size, by which spot traders meant "in the billions."
Is the story true? And if its true, what does it mean? First, to trade billions on Globex seems kind of silly, at least initially. After all, each contract is worth 100,000, or $119,250 as of the close on Feb. 17. To trade one billion dollars worth, youd need 8,385 contracts in a market where 100 contracts is a large trade. Why not just trade in the deeper spot market?
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