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The deflation conundrum
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CT-February 2009-1
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Falling prices, falling markets ... Are we headed down the same path of contraction as the Land of the Rising Sun?
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Detailed Description
With the U.S. housing market still under duress, commodity prices off sharply, stock prices still floundering, and a lot of sales at the mall, the economic bugaboo "deflation" has been very much in the air lately. The word conjures up any number of nasty images most immediately, Japan since the 1990s, when the country found itself in a deflationary quagmire and struggled (unsuccessfully, to date) to fix the problem with different policy balms, most famously its zero-interest-rate policy that made the Japanese yen the darling of forex carry traders around the world.
Now the U.S. has a zero interest rate as well, and despite the fundamental differences (for better or worse) in the Japanese and American economies, there is a great deal of speculation the U.S. might be in for some of the same medicine the Japanese have been quaffing for more than a dozen years.
What caused Japans economic malaise, and what are the lessons from the countrys so-called "lost decade"?
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