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The dollar-oil connection
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CT-September 2008-4
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The relationship between commodities and currencies is more complex than many traders believe.
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Detailed Description
Where is oil and therefore the dollar going? One argument is that oil may temporarily fall as low as $60, but $100 crude is probably here to stay.
The correlation of the dollar with the price of oil is about 90 percent over the past few years.
But a more accurate way of putting it would be that the Euro/dollar (EUR/USD) is highly correlated to the price of oil. Why single out the Euro instead of other top-traded currency pairs?
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