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The stock index-oil spread: The oil-stock substitute
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AT-January 2007-5
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Trading the relationship between crude oil and stock index futures is an unconventional spread for unconventional times. But it has potential advantages over outright oil stock or crude futures positions.
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Detailed Description
Theres no doubt the oil market has been very much in the news this year. Whats less certain is how to trade it. With the price of crude oil well off its summer high and gasoline prices dropping below $2.10 a gallon in some areas, its easy to see why people might think its too late to get in on the markets big gains. But maybe it isnt.
Search "oil stocks" online and youll find ample evidence of both bullish and bearish sentiment from the stock-picking community. On the bullish side, youll see, "Its time to buy oil stocks, not sell them," "Oil stocks: Plenty of fuel left," and "Oil stocks high-octane surge." On the bearish side, youll find, "Oil stocks outperformance is over," "Oil stocks will keep falling," and "No reason to own oil stocks here."
For all the controversy, owning or trading stocks such as ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Valero (VLO), or Marathon (MRO) isnt the only way to participate in this market. It might not even be the best way.
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