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Volume: The ultimate guide to sentiment
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CT-January 2006-6
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Not knowing "real" volume in the spot forex market is a challenge for currency traders. Tick volume and futures "commitment of traders" data can help you gauge market sentiment.
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Detailed Description
Volume data and analysis is commonplace in the equity market several popular technical indicators depend on the easy availability of volume but in the spot forex market, volume numbers are a proprietary secret of the banks and brokers executing the trades.
The business is, literally, private. When a fund or multinational corporation has a big trade to do, such as $2 billion in a day (or over two or three days), they tell their banks not to move the market as they execute the orders. So, even when you see a big price move, you never know whether it had real money behind it, meaning it was an authentic commercial transaction such as a foreign acquisition or a new stock or bond position, or if it was a speculative move by a hedge fund.
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